Appendix 2: NHS Scotland – achieving an integrated health and social care vision

The Scottish government’s 2020 vision for health and social care is to enable everyone to live longer, healthier lives at home or in a homely setting. This vision is underpinned by the National Health and Wellbeing Outcomes, which recognise the contribution that is required from a wide range of public, independent and third sector services in Scotland if this vision is to be realised.

The integration of health and social care systems across Scotland in April 2016 creates significant opportunities to overcome previous barriers to change. Integration will also enable health and social care data to be linked to support a greater understanding of the entire system.

Developing an understanding of what matters to people who use integrated health and social care services, how people ‘flow’ through or use services and how they are connected, is critical to planning and commissioning. Whole systems flow is a term often used to describe how people and systems interact within hospital settings to the point of discharge back home. However, the focus of this work recognises that home is best, and for people living within communities, a new and different language is required to define how locality based resources flow around a person within their own home and community.

Integrated systems of care

The number of people aged over 75 in Scotland is projected to increase by almost 60% by 2033 and people in this age group make up 40% of Scotland’s high-resource individuals (HRIs). Scotland’s HRIs are derived from analysis of linked individual-level data for inpatient and day-case admissions, new consultant-led and A&E outpatient attendances, and community prescribing (comprising 78% of total hospital expenditure and 90% of community prescribing expenditure). The HRI cohort comprises approximately 2% of the population but accounts for 50% of the mapped expenditure and three-quarters of all unplanned in-patient bed days, including acute, mental health, community and geriatric long stay. There is also significant turnover in the HRI cohort from one year to the next (24% remain in the top 2% for two consecutive years). There is, therefore, compelling reason to focus on the pathways these high-resource individuals follow in order to develop new pathways of care that improve outcomes.

Community-based services that anticipate need and respond quickly to prevent admission to hospital are required. Understanding what matters to people who use or need to access health and social care services may be critical in preventing, for example, unplanned admission to hospital and a potential for a delay in discharge. This demand that is created and presents within acute hospital settings may be caused by a failure to do something or do something right or different at an earlier stage when that individual was still in their own home – ie: failure demand. Understanding what causes an unplanned admission that results in a delayed discharge (the source or cause of that failure demand) is critical to understanding how health and social care systems are interconnected.

Understanding how health and social care interact

Driven by a desire to design services around what matters to people, Healthcare Improvement Scotland is developing a method to detect and understand the ‘source’ of the failure demand often created in health and social care.

This area of focus has emerged from responsive support being provided into one of the new health and social care partnerships within Scotland and through a systems mapping process that took an ‘outside-in’ view of the integration of health and social care systems.

This proposed programme of work is in the early design phase and aims to:

help partnerships to understand the interconnectedness of their health and social care system, including how actions taken in one part of the system (eg: to save money) can result in unintended consequences in another part (eg: increasing overall costs or adversely affecting outcomes for service users)

help partnerships get a better understanding of where the failure demand is currently presenting in the system and to use that knowledge to ensure that service redesign and/or investment is focused at the source of this failure demand rather than the part of the system where the failure demand presents.

Supporting the delivery of the 2020 vision

A number of pre-existing delivery programmes are already addressing whole system flow in Scotland. These are focused on tackling delayed discharge of patients from hospital, which presents a continuing challenge to delivering the 2020 vision. Tackling the root causes of problems is essential if the vision is to become a reality. As part of its approach to address this challenge, the Scottish government has established three programmes designed to have an impact on systems that may ultimately result in a delayed hospital discharge.

The Whole System Patient Flow programme contains a number of workstreams, some generated from local initiatives, but also including collaboration with the Institute for Healthcare Optimization (IHO). The programme draws upon IHO Variability Methodology® and ‘classic queuing theory’ to describe and achieve ‘optimal flow’. Four territorial health boards have well-established projects; a further six (of a total of 14) have completed a Scottish Patient Flow Assessment and are starting their own pilot projects.

The Unscheduled Care improvement programme is focused around achieving the four-hour emergency access standard across NHS Scotland through six essential actions. The 6EA improvement programme is designed to improve flow across the emergency care pathway by focusing on delivery of safe and effective care for every patient, every time. The programme adopts a collaborative approach underpinned by measurement for improvement and other QI approaches. Its building blocks involve six high-level themes that are managed individually and collectively. Since the programme’s inception, NHS Scotland measurement data show significant improvement within NHS Scotland and significant positive diversion from published data from England, Northern Ireland and Wales. The essential actions are:

  • clinically focused and empowered management
  • capacity and patient flow realignment
  • patient rather than bed management
  • medical and surgical processes arranged for optimal care
  • appropriate services across seven days
  • caring for patients in their own home, focusing on how care can shift from the hospital to more appropriate community-based services.

Focusing on this whole system approach has improved flow for more than 40,000 people this year; long waits of 8 and 12 hours have improved significantly, by 92% and 100% respectively.

Living Well in Communities is a portfolio of improvement programmes that aims to support people to spend more time living well at home or in a homely setting. This work involves engagement with a range of stakeholders across the health and social care landscape, including health and social care partnerships, housing associations, third sector organisations and private sector social care providers. Targeted improvement support is being provided in a number of areas, including:

  • pathways for high-resource individuals
  • frailty and falls in the community
  • anticipatory care planning
  • intermediate care and reablement
  • the Buurtzorg model of care delivery.

Healthcare Improvement Scotland is building on these early delivery programmes by establishing delivery and advisory groups drawing in others with knowledge and expertise in this area. It will also seek to learn from work by academics and organisations that have developed expertise around flow, both nationally and internationally.

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