Discussion

Health systems in high-income countries face several common challenges, including caring for growing numbers of people with multimorbidity and tackling persistent inequalities in health. International comparisons can help identify opportunities for learning about how to address these challenges, but they should also be treated with some caution. Definitions can vary between countries (for example, what counts as social services), and the data need to be interpreted within the wider historical and policy contexts of the systems being compared.

Nevertheless, surveys like this offer broad signals for policymakers. Overall, the findings present a mixed picture for general practice in the UK. In some aspects of care – particularly compared to countries with weaker primary care systems, like the US, the UK is an international leader. Almost all GPs surveyed in the UK use electronic medical records, and the use of data to review and improve care is relatively high. GPs in the UK are broadly supportive of ambitions to improve integration of services. Yet the survey also highlights several areas of major concern, including low GP satisfaction and high stress levels. GPs are more likely to think that the quality of care that they – and the wider NHS – are able to provide is declining than to feel that it is improving.

The remainder of this discussion focusses on England, where reforms to primary care have been proceeding at pace since the publication of the NHS Long term plan in 2019. The plan promised an additional £4.5bn investment in primary and community care by 2023/24 and offered a vision of neighbouring GPs working together in new PCNs, leading expanded teams of pharmacists, physiotherapists and other allied health professionals. PCNs are expected to offer more preventative care with better links to community, social care and a broad range of other non-medical services. The plan also described ambitions for ‘digital first’ primary care, where all patients would have the right to video consultations by April 2021. The survey data highlight several challenges for these reform efforts in England.

Workforce pressures risk undermining primary care reform

The survey illustrates fragility in the foundations of which PCNs are being built. England has the lowest proportion of GPs feeling satisfied with their workload compared to the other 10 countries, and the second highest ranking of GPs reporting very high or extreme levels of stress. These perceptions are not surprising: the most comprehensive analysis of GP workload to date found that overall workload had increased by 16% between 2007–2014 and will have risen further since. Adjusted for inflation, average income has also declined between 2008 and 2017 for both salaried and partner GPs. Stress caused by high workloads has been a persistent feature of large-scale GP surveys and stress has been linked to burnout and increased concern about patient safety. The survey’s finding of low satisfaction among GPs with the short appointments they can offer patients – and the UK’s ranking as the country with the shortest appointments – will not be helping.

There is a close relationship between these pressures and GP retention. There was a slight drop between the 2015 and 2019 surveys in the proportion of GPs in the UK reporting that they plan to retire in the next 3 years (from 17% to 11%), but nearly half (including younger GPs) plan to reduce their clinical hours. Again, these findings are consistent with other studies. A 2019 study found that 18% of GPs surveyed planned to leave or retire within the next 2 years, and 48.5% planned to do so within the next 5 years. Work intensity and workload were cited as the most common reasons behind their intention to leave.

These challenges are not new. Workload has been climbing steadily in general practice for years. The result is that more GPs are leaving the profession or reducing their hours than are being recruited or increasing their hours. Full-time equivalent GP numbers are falling. And the number of FTE GPs has been falling fastest in the most deprived areas, where health needs are greatest. This is despite a raft of policy measures implemented since 2015 to try to meet a government pledge to recruit an additional 5,000 GPs by 2020. There have also been efforts to try to retain more GPs and to help manage escalating workload – including an improved ‘induction and refresher’ scheme for fully qualified GPs returning to practice after a break, increased funding for general practice, and additional allied health professionals in the primary care workforce.

The 2015 survey showed that GPs in the UK were the most stressed of the 11 countries surveyed. What is most concerning about the 2019 results (see Figure 2) is that high stress levels, low satisfaction with practising medicine and high expressed intention to leave general practice have all persisted despite actions taken to address them. This suggests that current policy approaches are inadequate, insufficient, or both.

Workload is increasing across consultation types

Part of the policy response to challenges in recruiting and retaining GPs has been to try to identify new ways of reducing pressure on GP workloads – including by boosting the use of digital technology in primary care. Use of online consultations and other digital tools is seen by NHS England and other policymakers as potential alternatives to face-to-face appointments.

In this Commonwealth Fund 2019 survey, GPs report spending more time on all main consultation types in general practice (telephone triage, telephone consulting and face-to-face consulting). Any potential substitution effect between consultation types (for example, telephone triage saving the need for face-to-face appointments) appears to be eclipsed by increased demand for services.

The survey also suggests that the proportion of GPs using new forms of consultation – video and email – is small. This suggests that it may be difficult to deliver NHS England’s promise to extend the right for all patients to have video consultations by April 2021. Research on GPs’ use of video consultations is limited, but evidence suggests there are many questions to resolve and potential unintended consequences – from whether the WiFi infrastructure exists to allow good quality connections between GPs and patients, to what impact video consultations have on GP workload and the distribution of uptake between patient groups. Some new forms of digital first primary care have been evaluated (but in populations that are unrepresentative of those using general practice), but it remains an open question whether new technology can help with the most urgent challenges facing GPs and their patients.

In other areas, use of technology among UK GPs is advanced. The survey confirms previous findings about the long-established use of IT systems within general practices for electronic health records, sending reminders to patients and clinicians, and for UK patients to book appointments online (even if appointments are in short supply). The IT capacity for hospitals and other health and care providers to communicate promptly with general practice has taken much longer to evolve, and information can be slow in arriving.

Support and evaluation are needed as primary care teams evolve

Delivering on the commitments in the NHS Long term plan requires GPs to work with other health and care professionals in multidisciplinary teams, and connect patients with non-medical services in their community. These are core aspects of the new primary care network contract proposed by NHS England. The aim is to provide more coordinated services, boost preventative care and make the best use of the wider primary care team.

The 2019 survey indicates that GPs are familiar with working with pharmacists, but the number of GPs or practices with experience of working with physician associates and first contact physiotherapists is lower. Providing ways to help PCNs fulfil the potential of these additional roles – for example, through sharing of best practice examples, or guidance from professional bodies such as the Chartered Society of Physiotherapy – will be important.

The new PCN contract also includes funding for general practices to hire social prescribing link workers – and it is hoped that every PCN will hire at least one. Social prescribing is an approach to connecting patients with non-medical services to improve their health – for example, helping patients access support related to address housing or social isolation. While a greater focus on addressing patients’ social needs is welcome, evidence on the impact of social prescribing is limited., Social prescribing can only ‘work’ if services are available in the community to address patients’ non-medical needs. And these interventions come with potential unintended consequences – including medicalising people’s social issues and exacerbating inequalities. Data from this survey suggest that screening for social need in general practice is currently variable. Evaluation is needed to understand what approaches to social prescribing work, for which patients and in what contexts.

Recommendations for policy

These findings highlight several considerations for national policy in England:

  • Enable all GPs to offer longer appointment times. This is particularly difficult in the face of rising patient need and falling GP numbers; however, GPs with longer appointment times report greater job satisfaction. Offering longer appointments may paradoxically increase efficiency by improving the quality of care delivered, therefore reducing the need for more frequent shorter appointments. Policymakers hope that the additional roles recruited to PCNs may free up GP time, but it is not yet clear whether this will be the case. In reality, freeing up enough additional capacity to offer longer GP appointments will be challenging without more GPs.
  • Do more to understand what would keep GPs in practice – and rapidly implement solutions. This survey suggests that measures tried so far are not turning the tide on GPs’ intentions to reduce their hours or leave practice altogether. Increasing the number of allied health professionals in primary care is not a substitution for GPs. Intensifying efforts to understand what would keep UK GPs in practice will be key to improving retention. This survey demonstrates that GPs in the UK are less likely than their international counterparts to report satisfaction with pay and with workload.
  • Improve the speed of communication with hospitals. No single country has optimised use of electronic records, or ‘solved’ the challenge of care coordination. Although the UK performs reasonably well with regard to the sharing of clinical information between practices and hospitals, GPs report that these processes are often too slow. This may have implications for the quality of clinical care GPs can deliver. The UK has ambitious digital first primary care strategies, but must ensure that the basics are in place too.
  • Set realistic ambitions for digitally enabled primary care. This survey suggests that most GPs in the UK are a long way from meeting ambitious targets to offer digital services to patients. At a time when GPs are under significant and sustained pressure, policymakers must consider whether the evidence of benefit is sufficient to justify pushing this agenda, and should thoroughly evaluate the impact of digital first models to ensure that they deliver the intended benefits to patients and staff.
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